Bank of England chops second quarter growth forecast, sees bigger global and Brexit risks

The Bank of England cut its growth forecast for Britain's economy to zero in the second quarter of 2019 and highlighted risks from global trade tensions and growing fears of a no-deal Brexit. BoE officials voted unanimously to hold interest rates at 0.75%, as expected, and stuck to their message that rates would need to rise in a limited and gradual fashion, assuming Britain can avoid a damaging no-deal Brexit. However, the BoE noted on Thursday a darkening global outlook...

Brexit risks not fully priced in by market

Brexit risks are not priced in by bond markets and Britain's exit from the European Union could turn more bitter than expected, Anthony Linehan deputy director at Ireland's debt management agency warned on Wednesday. "To me (Brexit) is an area that isn't priced into markets and it can't be because no one knows what it looks like, even a hard Brexit," he said, speaking at a conference in London. "The one thing that worries me is, it's like a divorce,...

British factory orders weakest since 2016 as CBI issues Brexit warning

The CBI warn of "Brexit uncertainty biting" as factory orders slump to their lowest since the months following the EU referendum in 2016 Reuters report. British factory orders slid in June against a backdrop of stoppages in car production following uncertainty about when Britain will leave the European Union, the CBI's monthly industrial trends survey showed on Wednesday. The Confederation of British Industry survey's total order book balance sank to -15 this month from -10 in May, the weakest reading...

No-deal Brexit chills send pound to a five-month low vs euro

Signs that arch-Brexiteer Boris Johnson may be a step closer to becoming Britain's next prime minister sent the pound tumbling to a five-month low versus the euro on Tuesday as investors worried about the risks of a hard exit from the European Union. The pound dived to 89.66 pence versus the euro, its lowest level since mid-January, before the outcome of a second round of voting in the Tory leadership contest that might cement Johnson's pole position among rivals. "Fears...

Volatile U.S. politics gives euro’s global use a boost – ECB

The global use of the euro currency surged from record lows last year, mostly on a flight from the dollar due to the volatility of American politics and concerns about rising U.S. interest rates, the European Central Bank said on Thursday. Demand for the euro, the world's second most widely used currency after the dollar, fell to historic lows over the past decade. Its rebound suggests both concerns about U.S. politics and growing confidence about the future of the euro...

Brexit: Alarming contraction of UK economy

The UK economy took a huge knock in April as Brexit rumbles on. It contracted by 0.4 per cent compared to the month before, marking its biggest monthly fall since March 2016. It follows a decline of 0.1 per cent in March 2019. Industrial production declined by 2.7 per cent during April, with manufacturing shrinking by an alarming 3.9 per cent. This appears to be due to UK car plants shutting down in April, as manufacturers prepared for a no-deal...

Car manufacturing sees biggest drop since records began

Car manufacturing slumped by a massive 24 per cent in April as summer shutdowns were brought forward. New figures revealed the biggest drop in car manufacturing since records began as factory shutdowns took their toll on the industry. Several brought forward or extended shutdowns that normally take place in the summer, said the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT). Fewer than 71,000 cars were produced in April, a fall of 57,000 from the same month in 2018, according to...

Construction sector contracts as Brexit uncertainty continues

Activity across UK building firms fell last month, driven by a sharp decline in commercial construction and civil engineering, according to data firm Markit. Commercial building was the weakest sector, with output falling to the greatest extent since September 2017.  Survey respondents said that clients had opted to hold back on major spending decisions in response to Brexit uncertainty. Civil engineering also fell for a fourth straight month, the longest run since the first half of 2013. Duncan Brock, group...

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