• Privacy policy
  • T&C’s
  • About Us
    • FAQ
  • Contact us
  • Guest Content
  • TLE
  • News
  • Politics
  • Opinion
    • Elevenses
  • Business
  • Food
  • Travel
  • Property
  • JOBS
  • All
    • All Entertainment
    • Film
    • Sport
    • Tech/Auto
    • Lifestyle
    • Lottery Results
      • Lotto
      • Set For Life
      • Thunderball
      • EuroMillions
No Result
View All Result
The London Economic
SUPPORT THE LONDON ECONOMIC
NEWSLETTER
The London Economic
No Result
View All Result
Home News

Reactions as there could be a new Tier 4 restriction…and potentially Lockdown 3

"Anyone excited for lockdown 3 in January? Can’t wait for the trilogy to happen!"

Joe Mellor by Joe Mellor
2020-11-23 18:12
in News
Credit;PA

Credit;PA

FacebookTwitterLinkedinEmailWhatsapp

Tier 1 measures alone are not enough to prevent the rapid growth of coronavirus, and a fourth tier may be needed in areas where Tier 3 restrictions are not sufficient, Government scientific advisers have warned. It comes as people are already discussing a potential lockdown 3 next year.

The Sage scientific advisory panel said the tiers implemented across England before the second national lockdown had an impact on viral transmission with higher tiers having more effect.

However documents released by Sage on Monday said Tier 1 measures alone “are not enough to prevent the epidemic from growing rapidly”.

In a meeting on November 12 the group concluded that some models suggested a modest (approximately 10%) reduction in the reproduction number – the R value – when moving from Tier 1 to 2.

In some places Tier 2 could be enough to reduce R below 1, but this has not yet been observed, and would be the case if R was only slightly above 1 before Tier 2 was implemented, the scientists said.

Transmission

The document added: “This suggests that Tier 2 is the minimum intervention required to maintain any degree of control on transmission, though this would not be the case in all places and there is significant uncertainty.

“In most cases moving from Tier 1 to Tier 2 would slow growth rather than reverse it.”

HEALTH Coronavirus
(PA Graphics)

A separate Scientific Pandemic Influenza Group on Modelling, Operational sub-group (SPI-M-O) statement dated November 11 suggested a “Tier 4” may be required in areas where Tier 3 restrictions are not reducing numbers.

It read: “There is a great deal of uncertainty about the effect of tiers, particularly Tier 3.

RelatedPosts

Gary Lineker says BBC should ‘hold its head in shame’ for not airing Gaza documentary

Donald Trump announces he plans to host UFC fight at the White House

BBC to stop showing ‘high risk’ performances after Bob Vylan Glastonbury controversy

Keir Starmer confirms Rachel Reeves will be Chancellor ‘for a very long time to come’

Mass testing

“Test and trace, including mass testing, is most effective when prevalence is low.

“Even the most effective test and trace system will have little impact when caseloads are high.

“Given that the impact of tiers will vary depending on the characteristics of different areas, a ‘Tier 4’ needs to be considered for those parts of the country where Tier 3 is not able to shrink the epidemic.

HEALTH Coronavirus
(PA Graphics)

“This is particularly important in the run-up to the winter festive period if relaxation of measures is under consideration. Keeping incidence flat or decreasing between now and then is crucial.”

Sage set out that it is unclear whether baseline Tier 3 restriction alone would be sufficient at a regional or national level to reduce R below 1.

The November 12 documents said: “It is almost certain that prevalence will remain high in some parts of the country at the end of the current national restrictions.

“When policymakers plan transitions from national measures to a localised approach, or between tiers in future, consideration will need to be given to both prevalence and growth rate of new infections.”

On social media people were already predicting lockdown 3 and reacting to a potential Tier 4

Reactions

1.

From 3rd December cases and deaths will go up because of what Boris said this afternoon.

This doesn't make sense easing the restrictions now.

Lockdown 3.0 in the UK more likely to happen now in January 2021 probably though until March. pic.twitter.com/G6T200YI3X

— Daniel Voyager (@danielvoyager) November 23, 2020

2.

Anyone excited for lockdown 3 in January? Can’t wait for the trilogy to happen!

— lewis ford (@4ordlewis) November 23, 2020

3.

https://twitter.com/speirin/status/1330926833529925632

4.

We’re still in Lockdown 2 and Lockdown 3 is trending… I literally cannot! pic.twitter.com/upT2VH9Nxr

— Nicholas McLean (@nickmcleanuk) November 23, 2020

5.

https://twitter.com/CreweOnTheSofa/status/1330931536535957505

6.

When Lockdown 3.0 starts a week after 2.0 finishes.. corona getting on my last nerve pic.twitter.com/jC5Gobe9z2

— Rónán Haughey (@officialpants93) November 19, 2020

7.

According to Public Health England, five days of restrictions being eased over Christmas means an entire MONTH of tight restrictions will be needed to make up for it. That’s based on SAGE analysis.

— Ben Kentish (@BenKentish) November 22, 2020

8.

So the plan is. End the lockdown Dec 2. Start a new one Dec 3. Then ease it for a few days over Xmas. Then have a rise in infections over the New Year and another longer and harder lockdown after that. This is not feeling very thought through. Why am I not surprised?

— ALASTAIR CAMPBELL (@campbellclaret) November 22, 2020

Related: Long-term economic damage from no-deal Brexit likely to be worse than pandemic, warns Bank of England

Subscribe to our Newsletter

View our  Privacy Policy and Terms & Conditions

About Us

TheLondonEconomic.com – Open, accessible and accountable news, sport, culture and lifestyle.

Read more

SUPPORT

We do not charge or put articles behind a paywall. If you can, please show your appreciation for our free content by donating whatever you think is fair to help keep TLE growing and support real, independent, investigative journalism.

DONATE & SUPPORT

Contact

Editorial enquiries, please contact: [email protected]

Commercial enquiries, please contact: [email protected]

Address

The London Economic Newspaper Limited t/a TLE
Company number 09221879
International House,
24 Holborn Viaduct,
London EC1A 2BN,
United Kingdom

© The London Economic Newspaper Limited t/a TLE thelondoneconomic.com - All Rights Reserved. Privacy

No Result
View All Result
  • Home
  • News
  • Politics
  • Lottery Results
    • Lotto
    • Set For Life
    • Thunderball
    • EuroMillions
  • Business
  • Sport
  • Entertainment
  • Lifestyle
  • Food
  • Travel
  • JOBS
  • More…
    • Elevenses
    • Opinion
    • Property
    • Tech & Auto
  • About Us
    • Privacy policy
  • Contact us

© The London Economic Newspaper Limited t/a TLE thelondoneconomic.com - All Rights Reserved. Privacy

← Long-term economic damage from no-deal Brexit likely to be worse than pandemic, warns Bank of England ← Chief whip tells Corbyn to apologise over anti-Semitism comments
No Result
View All Result
  • Home
  • News
  • Politics
  • Lottery Results
    • Lotto
    • Set For Life
    • Thunderball
    • EuroMillions
  • Business
  • Sport
  • Entertainment
  • Lifestyle
  • Food
  • Travel
  • JOBS
  • More…
    • Elevenses
    • Opinion
    • Property
    • Tech & Auto
  • About Us
    • Privacy policy
  • Contact us

© The London Economic Newspaper Limited t/a TLE thelondoneconomic.com - All Rights Reserved. Privacy

-->