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Home Politics

Pollster records 31% swing towards Labour in Red Wall seats

The polling also reveals a surge by Reform UK, which could split the Tory vote at the next election.

Jack Peat by Jack Peat
2023-01-11 08:29
in Politics
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New polling suggests Red Wall MPs such as Jonathan Gullis and Lee Anderson could have a job on their hands if they are to be reelected in 2024.

Redfield & Wilton Strategies put Labour ahead by 22 per cent in Red Wall seats, which would equate to a 31 per cent swing if replicated at the next election.

Reform UK has also made ground, which could split the Tory vote.

One ex-minister recently said that even if the party gets ten per cent of the vote that could be “catastrophic” for them after it was revealed Nigel Farage was holding secret talks in key areas.

Gullis has also expressed concern over holding his own seat.

He recently told the FT: “We won’t hold any of the seats we won at the last election”.

Needless to say, sympathy was in short supply.

Labour leads by 22% in the Red Wall, a set of seats they lost by 9% in 2019.

Red Wall VI (8-9 Jan):

Labour 51% (-2)
Conservative 29% (-1)
Reform UK 9% (+4)
Liberal Democrat 5% (-1)
Green 3% (–)
Plaid Cymru 1% (–)
Other 1% (–)

Changes +/- 21-22 Novhttps://t.co/U5eiy8Df8M pic.twitter.com/mzreXiqDWy

— Redfield & Wilton Strategies (@RedfieldWilton) January 10, 2023

Related: New polling suggests Labour left is sticking by Starmer

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Tags: Red Wall

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