The European Commission has released a statement on Ursula von der Leyen’s meeting with Boris Johnson, confirming our worst fears that a ‘no deal’ is now a distinct possibility.
UK and EU negotiators will continue to try salvage a post-Brexit trade deal but Downing Street warned the gaps between the two sides remain “very large”.
Leaders Johnson and von der Leyen agreed to make a “firm decision” about the future of the talks by the end of the weekend after meeting for crunch talks over dinner in Brussels.
A statement released following three hours of dining and discussions confirmed that the only thing oven-ready “was the dinner” after a Number 10 source said it was “unclear” whether the differences between the two sides could be bridged.
Seems the only thing oven-ready about tonight was the dinner— Ava-Santina (@AvaSantina) December 9, 2020
“Very large gaps”
It read: “The PM and VDL (von der Leyen) had a frank discussion about the significant obstacles which remain in the negotiations.
“Very large gaps remain between the two sides and it is still unclear whether these can be bridged.
“The PM and VDL agreed to further discussions over the next few days between their negotiating teams.
“The PM does not want to leave any route to a possible deal untested. The PM and VDL agreed that by Sunday a firm decision should be taken about the future of the talks.”
We had a lively & interesting discussion on the state of play on outstanding issues.— Ursula von der Leyen (@vonderleyen) December 9, 2020
We understand each other’s positions. They remain far apart.
The teams should immediately reconvene to try to resolve these issues. We will come to a decision by the end of the weekend. pic.twitter.com/jG0Mfg35YX
Positions remain “far apart”
A Downing Street spokesman added that “any agreement must respect the independence and sovereignty of the UK”.
Mrs von der Leyen said the negotiating teams should “immediately reconvene” to try to resolve the “essential issues” but stressed the positions remained “far apart”.
She said in a statement: “We had a lively and interesting discussion on the state of play across the list of outstanding issues.
“We gained a clear understanding of each other’s positions. They remain far apart.
“We agreed that the teams should immediately reconvene to try to resolve these essential issues. We will come to a decision by the end of the weekend.”
Scallops and turbot
It was hoped that progress at a political level between Mr Johnson and Mrs von der Leyen could pave the way for more talks between Lord Frost and Michel Barnier.
But the statements from both sides suggested that while further discussions would be held, substantial movement on the key issues had not been made.
Mr Johnson and Mrs von der Leyen discussed the potential trade deal over a three-course dinner featuring scallops and turbot.
Negotiations have faltered on fishing rights, among other issues, and the Commission’s menu will be seen as a pointed gesture by some but a sign that it has a sense of humour by others.
Other outstanding differences include the “level playing field” measures aimed at preventing the UK undercutting the EU on standards and state subsidies, and the way that any deal would be governed.
Three weeks remain
Before leaving London, Mr Johnson told MPs that no prime minister could accept the demands the EU is making, though insisted a trade deal was still possible.
Their meeting came ahead of a European Council summit on Thursday where Mrs von der Leyen is expected to debrief the leaders of the 27 member countries on the state of play with the negotiations.
Just three weeks remain until the current transitional arrangements expire.
Failure to reach agreement would see tariffs imposed on UK exports to the EU, the country’s biggest trading partner, and could also increase bureaucracy.
The Office for Budget Responsibility has suggested that a no-deal outcome could wipe 2% off gross domestic product, a measure of the size of the economy, in 2021.
The Bank’s governor Andrew Bailey has warned the long-term damage caused by a no-deal situation would be worse than the economic hit from coronavirus.