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Home Business and Economics

UK inflation predicted to hit 19% by January

Shifts in energy prices will lead to inflation "entering the stratosphere", Citi bank say.

Jack Peat by Jack Peat
2022-08-22 11:40
in Business and Economics
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A leading investment bank has posted dire predictions on the level of UK inflation.

With the cost-of-living crisis set to intensify over the winter months, Citi has suggested that inflation could rise to 18.6 per cent in January.

That would make it the highest peak in almost half a century.

Last month, the increase in prices of food and household staples saw inflation reach its highest level in over 40 years as it soared to 10.1 per cent.

Citi said their latest prediction could be attributed to rising wholesale gas prices.

The investment bank predicted that the retail energy price cap would be raised to £4,657 in January and then £5,816 in April, compared with the current level of £1971 a year.

It said these shifts would lead to inflation “entering the stratosphere”.

Chief UK economist at Citi Benjamin Nabarro said: “We now expect CPI inflation to peak at over 18 per cent in January.”

This would be higher than the peak of inflation after the second Opec oil shock of 1979 when it reached 17.8 per cent, according to estimates from the Office for National Statistics.

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