The contrasting polling fortunes of Labour and Reform show no signs of turning according to two major polls released this week.
For weeks now, Reform have been sliding in the polls as controversy and scandal swirls around the party. Meanwhile, Labour’s jump in support under Andy Burnham seems to be much more permanent than a bounce.
This has been reinforced by two surveys from major pollsters released on Wednesday.
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The first came from Survation, who recorded a two point jump in support for Labour and a one point drop in support for Reform.
This have Burnham’s party a healthy six point lead over Reform, with the Tories further back on 19% after a two-point fall.
Further down, the Lib Dems and Greens were tied on 9% each.
This was followed by More In Common’s latest polling finding very similar results.
In this poll, Labour’s lead widened to five points thanks to a one point rise combined with one point drops for both the Tories and Reform.
With Reform in third place, this also left them six points adrift of Labour as they fell to their lowest level of support in 18 months.
The Lib Dems are in fourth with 11%, the Greens behind them on 9%, and Restore Britain on 6%.
The polls are the latest disappointing results for Reform over what has been a disastrous few months.
After making significant gains at the local elections in May, Reform and Farage seem to have been in self-destruct mode.
Controversies around undisclosed donations to Farage from crypto billionaires, Met Police investigations into party donations and undercover stings appearing to show Reform figures willing to bend the rules to get foreign money into the party have all hit the party’s popularity.
Meanwhile, Farage’s personal approval ratings are in free-fall, and the likes of Zia Yusuf seem more interested in defending far-right ringleader Danny Tommo than doing anything else.
If they keep this up, and the polls keep throwing up results like this, the possibility of Burnham calling an election before 2029 are only likely to increase.