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Leave Takes a Big Lead Ahead Of EU Referendum

The Leave campaign has taken a big lead in the polls ahead of the EU referendum on 23rd June. Guardian/ICM polls report a six-point lead, with Leave now enjoying a 53 per cent – 47 per cent advantage once “don’t knows” are excluded. According to Prof John Curtice of Strathclyde University, the running average “poll […]

Jack Peat by Jack Peat
2016-06-14 11:34
in News, Politics
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The Leave campaign has taken a big lead in the polls ahead of the EU referendum on 23rd June.

Guardian/ICM polls report a six-point lead, with Leave now enjoying a 53 per cent – 47 per cent advantage once “don’t knows” are excluded.

According to Prof John Curtice of Strathclyde University, the running average “poll of polls” would stand at 52 per cent for leave and 48 per cent for remain, the first time leave has been in such a strong position, The Guardian reports.

The bookmakers are also reporting a flood of bets backing Leave over that past 48 hours. Remain has sunk to its lowest ever level on leading political spread betting company Sporting Index’s Brexit markets.

The firm revealed that over the previous two-day period, just one in ten bets taken have backed the David Cameron-led Remain campaign. Traders at Sporting Index now predict Remain’s vote share to be just 51 per cent, the lowest since the company’s markets opened in early March.

Ed Fulton, political spokesman for Sporting Index, said: “It’s been a devastating few days for the Remain campaign, with polling indicating the momentum is now behind Boris Johnson, Nigel Farage and Co.

“Our political trading team has seen a level of activity that usually only occurs on polling day for a General Election, and to say it’s been one-way traffic is an understatement – just one in ten bets taken have backed Remain.

“Last May’s General Election was the biggest British political betting event in our 30-year history, but the EU referendum will shortly take the top spot and there is still more than a week to go until voters head to the polls.”

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