Business and Economics

A no-deal would be like “setting the shed on fire” while the house was in flames – CBI

The Confederation of British Industry has sent out a warnings over a no-deal Brexit as the clock winds down on the transition period.

Outgoing boss Carolyn Fairbairn said British firms do not have the resilience to cope with a no-deal Brexit after the battering of the coronavirus crisis, adding that one member had likened it to “setting the shed on fire” while the house was in flames.

Brexit negotiations broke up last week with the EU’s chief negotiator saying that very little progress had been made on key sticking points.

Dame Carolyn Fairbairn told the BBC that any buffers to cope with the additional cost and planning of an exit from the EU customs union and single market without a deal had been exhausted by the Covid-19 pandemic.

Resilience “on the floor”

“The resilience of British business is absolutely on the floor,” she said.

“Every penny of cash that had been stored up, all the stockpiles prepared have been run down.

“The firms that I speak to have not a spare moment to plan for a no trade deal Brexit at the end of the year – that is the common sense voice that needs to find its way into these negotiations.”

Brexit extension

Northern Ireland joined Wales and Scotland last week in backing an extension to the Brexit transition period.

The Assembly passed the motion by 50 votes to 38, with only unionists opposing it.

DLP MLA Matthew O’Toole said it was “mad and dangerous” not to extend given the current economic circumstances.

“It is especially dangerous because we know how close we came, in recent weeks, to serious disruption to supply chains across these islands.

“If we end this year with no trade deal and no extension to the transition, we could face the very real prospect of significant disruption to supply chains, not just between Calais and Dover but between Holyhead and Dublin – a route that is critical to the Northern Ireland market – and at Belfast and Larne.”

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Jack Peat

Jack is a business and economics journalist and the founder of The London Economic (TLE). He has contributed articles to VICE, Huffington Post and Independent and is a published author. Jack read History at the University of Wales, Bangor and has a Masters in Journalism from the University of Newcastle-upon-Tyne.

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