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Kemi Badenoch backed as clear favourite to become Conservative Party leader

New data has shown the former minister for women and equalities has the support of 25.83 per cent of grassroots Tory members to replace Rishi Sunak.

Rachel Vickers-Price by Rachel Vickers-Price
2024-07-15 09:40
in Politics
Jeff Overs/BBC/PA

Jeff Overs/BBC/PA

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Kemi Badenoch is tipped to become the next leader of the Conservative Party, according to a new survey.

A poll shows the former minister for women and equalities, now the shadow housing secretary, has the support of 25.83 per cent of grassroots Tories.

Independent Tory news organisation Conservative Home questioned 995 grassroots members on July 8, 9 and 10 about who should replace former prime minister Rishi Sunak.

Among those surveyed, former immigration minister Robert Jenrick was second favourite, with the support of 13.47 per cent.

Former security minister Tom Tugendhat came in third with 12.96 per cent, followed by former home secretary Suella Braverman on 9.75 per cent.

Shadow home secretary James Cleverly has the support of 9.15 per cent, while another former home secretary, Priti Patel, trails on 3.32 per cent.

However, while the survey did indicate a clear winner in Ms Badenoch, 16 per cent of those polled answered “Don’t know”, which suggests the final result could still be anyone’s guess.

Deputy editor of Conservative Home Henry Hill told the Sunday Times: “Conservative leadership contests normally end up with a candidate of the right versus a candidate of the centre, which on these results would likely mean a final round between Tom Tugendhat and either Kemi Badenoch or Robert Jenrick.

But with ‘Don’t know’ the second largest group and a wide spread of support between potential candidates, at this stage the race is wide open.”

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Mr Hill added in an article accompanying the poll data: “The lack of an overwhelming favourite also means that this contest is wide open: there is plenty of scope for the contenders to prove their worth to the membership and fight their way to the final two – and then to the leader’s office.”

The Sunday Times also reported that the Conservative Party board is preparing to elect new MP representatives on Wednesday.

Once those positions have been decided, more details on the leadership contest will be announced by the end of the coming week, senior party sources suggested to the newspaper.

No Conservative candidate has yet declared an intention to stand as leader.

Related: Footage of Farage threatening to ‘pick up a rifle’ resurfaces as he flies to US to support Trump

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