Watch – We will face a “third parliament of austerity” after 2020, says IFS

This is just what you didn’t want to hear, especially if you have been slapped with a National Insurance tax rise, as a self-employed worker.

The IFS has made a post-budget statement and it makes grim reading for the nation. The impact of Brexit is unknown, but the future already looks gloomy. Well over a decade of austerity will be too much for a lot the UK’s population to take.

In 2020 it will be 15 years without an effective pay rise, hardly great news for one of the biggest economies in the world. A sluggish economy and instability from Brexit could mean austerity could possibly drag over into a fourth parliament, but that is too depressing to think about, so let’s just stick with the three parliament theory from the IFS.

Paul Johnson, from the IFS, said: “We remain on course to be borrowing about £20bn in 2020 – that’s £30bn more than intended a year ago. That leaves a lot of work to do in the next parliament to get to the planned budget balance. It looks like being, I’m afraid, a third parliament of austerity.

“Income and earnings growth over the next few years still look like being weak. On current forecasts average earnings will be no higher in 2022 than they were in 2007. Fifteen years without a pay rise. I’m rather lost for superlatives. This is completely unprecedented.

“That’s nine years to grow as much as it would normally grow in one. What the OBR is saying is that despite that truly dismal record all of the productivity – and with it earnings growth – we would normally expect has been lost forever. This remains the big story of the last decade – a decade without growth, a decade without precedent in the UK in modern times.”

Read “The Myths that drive austerity” here 
Watch opening statement here

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